I've noticed a phenomenon among Trump-supporting pundits where they consistently profess extreme confidence in a Trump victory in November. Not just his squeaking out a victory, but a landslide. They tend to ignore polling data completely or refer to it only when the occasional outlier supports their argument. The rest of the time they dismiss the polls as inaccurate. They act as if their man is a shoe-in, an obvious winner.
And this makes me wonder why. Why take the stance that a Trump landslide is coming when all the indicators are otherwise? Here's my guess. I believe these pundits actually accept the data and expect the November tally to be a close-go. But they have good reason to encourage Trump Nation to expect a landslide. This prepares the ground for the subsequent argument, should the race turn out to be as close as expected, that the Dems stole the election in certain key battleground states.
If this race is not a landslide (in either direction) then we can expect litigation. Trump & Co. want their supporters to be outraged at the obvious electoral thievery that must certainly have taken place if Trump loses (or if the Electoral College outcome is too close to call on election night).
It's just a guess, but it's all I can conjure up to explain the phenomenon of the Over-Confident Trump Supporter.
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Consider: A good overview of the polling as it currently stands is here.
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