As we enter the final weekend of the strangest presidential campaign in memory, the challenger leads the incumbent in virtually every poll, and has done so for the entire year. Biden's average lead stands at 8%, and just under 60 million folks have voted already.
Networks, newspapers and political journals, and pundits of every stripe are now issuing their sage advice as to whom the voters should support. They probably have little influence at this point, not least because about 40% have already cast their ballot and most of the rest have made up their minds. But they will reinforce all the usual talking-points of their chosen sides, like the good foot-soldiers most of them are.
Trump is hurrying from place to place, even places that are usually Republican strongholds, to reinforce his message/rant. Biden, at a much more desultory pace, is visiting states that are usually in-the-bag for Republicans, but which are up-for-grabs in this go-round. One of the reasons he can do that is that more states are safely in his column now. In addition, he simply has much more money than Trump, and so can make "luxury" campaign stops in states like Georgia, which are surprisingly close this year, rather than solidly Republican.
All this points to a steeper and more grueling climb to the top for Trump. The odds are against him, but he's exuding confidence and his 43% are loyally coming out to his rallies in large numbers. He's betting on something of a miracle, but he has not been above 45% in any poll in ages. Barring a gargantuan misstep, Joe Biden will be our next president.
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